Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
(04) Waiting for negotiating breakthrough (19 Oct-13 Nov 2018)
#41
(28-10-18, 08:49 AM)Ajda Slovenia Wrote: No other Brexit news today??? Is it really THAT bad?

I don't expect anything significant until the 2nd week of november really, when UK parliament goes into DEFCON 2 panic mode over lack of progress facing the nonexistent special EU summit on Brexit.
#42
(28-10-18, 11:33 PM)Antarctican Wrote: I don't expect anything significant until the 2nd week of november really, when UK parliament goes into DEFCON 2 panic mode over lack of progress facing the nonexistent special EU summit on Brexit.

Yes, agree. But the shocking lack of news is that the Brits forgot to stab each other in the back.
#43
(29-10-18, 12:18 AM)Ajda Slovenia Wrote: Yes, agree. But the shocking lack of news is that the Brits forgot to stab each other in the back.


Just wait until after the budget tomorrow.
#44
News update (29 October 2018)

Ooooo - everyone in the EU27 is bored waiting for the Brits to make up their mind. So they are fiddling a little with fancy Brexit websites:

The EU's response to Brexit  Cool Big Grin  
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/brexit/

How about this: "Both to settle the divorce and to prepare for the future, the EU has been united, transparent and prepared." Oh, and they are completely ignoring Raab.


A new survey:

The public's Brexit misperceptions (28 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
A major survey over 2,200 people aged 18 to 75 by the Policy Institute at King’s, in partnership with Ipsos MORI and the UK in a Changing Europe, reveals that the British public significantly misperceive key facts around Brexit.
https://www.kcl.ac.uk/sspp/policy-instit...tions.aspx
The above link contains results of the survey which have been published so far (also many graphs) - I recommend you have a look.

See also:

Public wrong on key facts around Brexit and impact of EU membership, new study finds (28 Oct 2018)
http://ukandeu.ac.uk/public-wrong-on-key...udy-finds/

The slogan on the magic red bus: true or false (poll)
http://debateuncensored.x10host.com/forum/showthread.php?tid=124&pid=1503#pid1503


Deal or no deal:

UK confident of a good Brexit deal, health minister says (29 Oct 2018)
Britain's health minister said on Monday he was confident that the United Kingdom will get a good deal with the European Union before it leaves the bloc next March...
“I am confident that we will get a good deal in the Brexit negotiations,” Health Secretary Matt Hancock told BBC radio. “The EU always negotiates right down to the last moment, I am confident that we will get a good deal.”
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N30VS
Oh, I thought that the Brits have finally decided what they want - no such luck. Still deadlock in Brussels and wishful thinking about Brexit unicorns in London.


On Fantasy Island - the magic red Brexit bus replaced by the magic red Brexit box, and confused infighting about Brexit unicorns continues:

Brexit: Cross-party MPs launch 'killer amendment' push for fresh EU referendum (28 Oct 2018)
'People must have the right to look at the final plans, the evidence about consequences and have the opportunity to change their mind'
Cross-party MPs have launched a push for a fresh EU referendum as they attempt to build momentum for a "killer amendment" on any Brexit deal Theresa May tables in the Commons.
The move, backed by MPs from the major political parties, is being spearheaded by the Conservative backbencher, Sarah Wollaston, and claims to have the backing of more than 100 MPs.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...05686.html
Tick, tock...

MPs do not have 'legal veto' to stop no-deal Brexit, Commons officials say (28 Oct 2018)
Exclusive: vote of no confidence in government may be only way to stop Britain crashing out of EU
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...03541.html
Exclusive from debate Uncensored: The Brits still do not get it.

Budget: more cash for NHS but crackdown on tech firms expected (28 Oct 2018)
What to expect from Philip Hammond’s speech tomorrow
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018...ip-hammond

Philip Hammond: no-deal Brexit will jeopardise budget plans (28 Oct 2018)
Chancellor says emergency budget would be necessary in absence of Brexit deal
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018...dget-plans
But but but ... the Brexit dividend!

5 things to watch for in the UK’s Brexit budget (28 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
The UK chancellor will push the message that there is an economic dividend on offer if MPs back a Brexit deal.
1. Brexit deal good for economy: The numbers
2. Windfall sweetens the ‘deal’
3. We’re ready for ‘no deal’
4. How it goes down 
5. End to austerity (if all goes well …)
https://www.politico.eu/article/chancell...uk-budget/

Hammond says has money buffer in case of Brexit shock (29 Oct 2018)
British Chancellor Philip Hammond said on Sunday he remained prepared to use money he has kept aside to help the economy cope with the shock of leaving the European Union without a Brexit deal.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N20AE

Hammond to turn up heat on Brexit rebels in budget speech (29 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
British finance minister Philip Hammond will use his annual budget speech on Monday to urge his divided Conservative Party to get behind the government's push for a Brexit deal, or put at risk a long-awaited easing of austerity...
“If we don’t get a deal ... we would need to take a different approach to the future of Britain’s economy,” Hammond told Sky News television on Sunday.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N207A


News from EU27:

Commission welcomes European Parliament vote confirming relocation of European Medicines Agency and European Banking Authority (25 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
The European Commission welcomes the European Parliament's vote today, which paves the way for the European Medicines Agency (EMA) and the European Banking Authority (EBA) to take up their seats in Amsterdam and Paris, respectively, as of 30 March 2019.
For the Commission, the key objective has always been to ensure business continuity for these important agencies and for their staff. This vote gives the necessary certainty to the staff and all the administrations involved, allowing them to ensure a smooth and timely relocation.
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-18-6207_en.htm


The Brexit dividend:

Budget 2018: Chancellor ‘to unveil special 50 pence coin to commemorate Brexit’ (29 Oct 2018)  Big Grin  
New coin to be made available on 29 March, the day Britain leaves the European Union
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...06221.html
A Croatia-blue passport AND a new coin! Fantastic!
#45
(28-10-18, 11:33 PM)Antarctican Wrote: I don't expect anything significant until the 2nd week of november really, when UK parliament goes into DEFCON 2 panic mode over lack of progress facing the nonexistent special EU summit on Brexit.

For what it's worth the Indie published a report about some Commons officials finding out that the House of Commons does not have a "legal veto" on a no deal brexit. That i, everyone who depended on Parliament saving the UK from a cliff edge brexit if negotiations don't come to an agreement are in shock, this safety net doesn't exist.

Of course anyone with a bit of knowledge of how brexit works will know that the HoC could vote as much as it wants against the country crashing out, it wouldn't make any difference. Article 50 is clear, with or without a deal the UK is out end of April.

MPs do not have 'legal veto' to stop no-deal Brexit, Commons officials say 

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...03541.html
#46
News update (30 October 2018)

Hey, why is brexi so very unhappy right now - 18:00 CET?
https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=EUR&view=1W
Oh, S&P said that Brexit Britain is heading for recession - see below.


New opinion poll:

Voters skeptical of UK promises of Brexit upside (30 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
Snap poll for POLITICO by Hanbury Strategy suggests Brits don’t buy government warnings about no-deal Brexit.
https://www.politico.eu/article/voters-s...it-upside/


Deal or no deal:

Brexit: One negotiation, two worlds (27 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
The Brexit negotiations are poised to resume, but there are now two distinct and highly subjective realities: the world of the negotiating teams, and the paradigm of Tory politics.
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-com...ion-teams/
Tony Connelly always provides very good insight into what is actually going on - check also his other Brexit articles.

A no-deal Brexit would not end negotiations – and the EU knows it (30 Oct 2018)
The shock of crashing out of Europe would bring the UK back to the table quickly – so member states are willing to stand firm
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...iations-eu

Norwegian PM refuses to back 'Norway for Now' Brexit option for UK (30 Oct 2018)
PM Erna Solberg: “We would welcome any good cooperation with Britain. But to enter into an organisation which you’re leaving [ie the EEA] is a little bit difficult for rest of us
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1...2352430080


On Fantasy Island:

Employers must check EU nationals' right to work, says minister (30 Oct 2018)
Employers will be expected to check whether EU nationals have the right to work in the UK during any Brexit transition period, even though it will be almost impossible to assess this, and the nature of the checks remain unknown, Caroline Nokes, the immigration minister, has told MPs.  Big Grin  
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/201...to-work-uk


The Brexit dividend:

Encouraging words for Slovenia’s exports to the UK after Brexit (26 Oct 2018)
According to the British Ambassador to Slovenia, Sophie Honey, official talks on new commercial relations with Slovenia have not yet started: "Our goal is to create new commercial relations, which would remain very open in order to ensure the free movement of goods. We want to establish good foundations for Slovenia's companies, for them to continue exporting to our country. We therefore encourage entrepreneurs, who have an interest to cooperate with the UK, to keep faith and continue searching for a way..."
Because of Brexit, some British companies are already searching for other investment locations. One of the locations of interest is also Slovenia.
https://www.rtvslo.si/news-in-english/en...xit/470051
'Keeping faith' is a great business strategy.

M&G pins hopes on £34bn fund migration to 'Brexit-proof' business (25 Oct 2018)
M&G's global head of distribution Jonathan Willcocks has said the firm's migration of assets, which is believed to be the largest by any asset manager in history, is "crucial" to ensure all European clients can own its funds after Brexit
M&G currently has £68bn in assets under management across UK and Europe and some £34bn of this is in non-sterling assets. This means UK-based funds will see a substantial reduction in assets following the migration...
Looking ahead to the Brexit deadline of 29 March 2019, Willcocks hopes the changes being made will "Brexit-proof" the business for whatever deal is achieved...
"We could not wait and see and hope for a favourable outcome, we had to be absolutely sure that our clients in Europe were being looked after," Willcocks said. "So we do not have to be worried about Brexit, as we have taken that risk out of the equation by ensuring these assets are migrated by mid-March." 
https://www.investmentweek.co.uk/investm...f-business

Exclusive: Bentley warns worst case no deal Brexit would hit profitability, investment (30 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
The boss of carmaker Bentley said failure to reach a Brexit deal would be “quite damaging” to annual profit in the worst case scenario, limit the company’s ability to invest and could lead to its plant closing for an additional few days...
“Best case, it’s an annoying impact on our annual profitability,” Hallmark told Reuters. “Worst case, it’s quite damaging on our annual profitability so a full no deal Brexit would hurt us as a company, it would limit ability to invest.”...
We may work for four days, or we may have a longer Christmas break and a longer Easter break if there is no deal so that we can smooth the period between now and the middle of next year,” he said.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-britai...KKCN1N40SK

UK likely to suffer long recession after no-deal Brexit - S&P (30 Oct 2018)  Exclamation  
“In the scenario of a no-deal Brexit, our calculations indicate the UK would experience a moderate recession lasting four to five quarters, with GDP contracting by 1.2 percent in 2019 and 1.5 percent in 2020,” S&P said in a statement.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N412M

Sterling weakens as Brexit unease overshadows budget (30 Oct 2018)
Sterling sank against the dollar and euro on Tuesday as concern about Britain's departure from the European Union led investors to largely ignore hopes of an end to austerity raised by Chancellor Philip Hammond.
The pound has weakened 4 percent in October as traders fret over the lack of progress in divorce talks on issues including the Irish border, less than five months before Brexit.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N412M

EU roaming charges will 'probably' return after Brexit, MPs warn (30 Oct 2018)
'It is probable that mobile roaming charges – abolished on an intra-EU basis – will return,' the cross-party committee warned
The UK Government will not enforce the ban on mobile roaming charges for British citizens travelling in the EU after Brexit, a cross-party committee of MPs has warned.
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style...09271.html
To travel to the EU27 after Brexit: buy Croatia-blue passport, buy visa waiver, buy health insurance, pay high phone bills (providing that the planes and trains are not grounded, of course - else swim).
#47
News update (31 October 2018)

Today is the Reformation Day (national holiday) here in Slovenia - we are celebrating people who fought for our language and gave us the first printed books in Slovenian - explanation in English (from 2013):

Slovenia Celebrates Reformation Day (31 Oct 2013)  Smile  
http://www.sloveniatimes.com/slovenia-ce...mation-day


On Fantasy Island:

Debate on final Brexit deal could use rare Commons procedure (31 Oct 2018)
MPs debating Theresa May’s final Brexit deal could have a succession of options put before them in a rare procedure that second referendum campaigners fear will be used by ministers to select the answer that suits them best...
MPs are expected to debate whether to give their approval in the week before Christmas, with the crucial votes taking place possibly as late as 20 December. Campaigners are considering whether to use that point to stage a vote on whether to hold a second referendum, but it is not clear whether, if passed, it would be binding on the government.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/201...-procedure
The Brits still fighting each other about flying Brexit unicorns.


The Brexit dividend:

Home Office 'risks repeat of Windrush scandal' as employers required to check EU citizens' right to work after Brexit (30 Oct 2018)
Government accused of failing to prevent EU nationals being ‘dragged’ into hostile environment after minister admits it will be ‘almost impossible’ to distinguish those with and without status
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...09456.html

Home Office 'not being straight' with MPs over border security after no-deal Brexit, Labour's Yvette Cooper says (30 Oct 2018)
Border Force head refuses to give details of what information could be lost in heated exchange at Home Affairs Committee evidence session
Home Office officials are “not being straight” with MPs over the security implications of no-deal Brexit, Yvette Cooper has said.
In heated scenes at the Home Affairs Committee, the Labour chair repeatedly asked what information the Border Force will lose if the UK is excluded from the Schengen Information System (SIS II) database in March.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...08976.html

No-deal Brexit will make Britain less safe, police chiefs warn MPs (30 Oct 2018)
The UK will become a less safe place in the event of a no-deal Brexit, law enforcement chiefs have warned MPs, saying that a loss of shared EU information could even lead to some overseas criminals deliberately moving to the UK to avoid arrest.
The head of the National Crime Agency (NCA), Lynne Owens, told the Commons home affairs committee she would be “deeply concerned” about the security implications if the UK left without a deal.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018...s-warn-mps

UK to recruit 1,000 more diplomatic staff to maintain international clout after Brexit, Jeremy Hunt to announce (31 Oct 2018)
Jeremy Hunt will vow to recruit 1,000 more diplomatic staff and boost their language skills, as he fights warnings that Brexit will weaken Britain’s international clout...
The Foreign Office has also been criticised for earlier plans to hollow out embassies around the world, in order to fund diplomatic posts in Europe.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po...08921.html

Brexit worries drag on UK consumer sentiment - GfK (30 Oct 2018)
British consumer morale slid to a three-month low in October, dragged down by worries about the economic outlook in the run-up to Brexit, a survey showed on Wednesday.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britai...KKCN1N500B
#48
Happy celebration day, Ajda, for you and all the people in Slovenia. Heart
#49
Meanwhile, UK foreign minister Jeremy Hunt still an eternal optimist in cloud-cukoo-land and searching for goodwill abroad: 

https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/grossbritanni...ld.1430873

Article (opinion-piece) dated 25.10.18.

Mr. Hunt writes about the similarities between Switzerland and UK, both freedom-loving, both important financial centers, and so on 
(nearly endless praise for the Swiss, in my opinion mostly political and diplomatic drivel, but certainly an improvement compared to his blundering predecessor Mr. Johnson). 

He is certain that trade between Switzerland and UK will flourish after Brexit and promises Swiss cititzens in the UK are safe to stay there. 

He is confident an agreement with EU 27 will be reached provided all sides show the necessary political will. 

In effect, he tells the dear reader not to despair, all will be well in the end. 
(meaning when the EU 27 finally accept the UK proposals). 

That remains to be seen. I doubt it.
#50
(31-10-18, 07:14 PM)CaseyJones1900UK2019 Wrote: Meanwhile, UK foreign minister Jeremy Hunt still an eternal optimist in cloud-cukoo-land and searching for goodwill abroad: 

https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/grossbritanni...ld.1430873

Article (opinion-piece) dated 25.10.18.

Mr. Hunt writes about the similarities between Switzerland and UK, both freedom-loving, both important financial centers, and so on 
(nearly endless praise for the Swiss, in my opinion mostly political and diplomatic drivel, but certainly an improvement compared to his blundering predecessor Mr. Johnson). 

He is certain that trade between Switzerland and UK will flourish after Brexit and promises Swiss cititzens in the UK are safe to stay there. 

He is confident an agreement with EU 27 will be reached provided all sides show the necessary political will. 

In effect, he tells the dear reader not to despair, all will be well in the end. 
(meaning when the EU 27 finally accept the UK proposals). 

That remains to be seen. I doubt it.

Hunt compared the EU to... no, in fact he claimed that the EU was like the USSR. This guy does not work or say anything in my name.


Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)